Showing posts with label space tourism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label space tourism. Show all posts

Thursday, August 13, 2020

Deploying a Ginormous SLS Derived Dry/Wet Workshop Habitat with a Single SLS Launch

Notional SLS derived Dry/Wet orbital habitat with more than 4000 cubic meters of pressurized volume. A reusable  Orion/ACES 68 orbital transfer vehicle designed for lunar orbital missions is docked at one of the Dry Habitats while a Space X Dragon approaches the other Dry Habitat, shuttling paying tourist to the station from Earth. 

At an estimated cost of $165 billion (in today’s dollars), the International Space Station (ISS) is considered to be the most expensive human made structure ever built. Requiring more than 40 rocket launches for assembly, the ISS currently has a pressurized volume exceeding 916 cubic meters. Yet, a single launch of a basic SLS Block IB Cargo launcher could easily deploy a dry workshop microgravity habitat with a pressurized volume exceeding 2000 cubic meters.  But even if a habitat was deployed with multiple pressured cylindrical sections to enhance safety plus air locks for docking, a single SLS launched dry station or multiple dry stations would still have total pressurized volumes far exceeding that of the ISS. 
Two individuals working within the empty interior of the  8.4 meter in diameter  SLS liquid hydrogen propellant tank (Credit: Boeing Aerospace.)

However, if  the empty LOX and LH2 tanks of the SLS core stage core stage, used to place the dry habitat or habitats into orbit, were re-pressurized with a nitrogen/oxygen atmosphere, an additional  pressurized   volume exceeding 3000 cubic meters could be added. So in combination, a dry/wet  workshop habitat deployed by a single SLS launch, could easily provide a total pressurized volume ranging from 4000 to 5000 cubic meters, more than four to five times the pressurized the volume found on the ISS.


Notional Mission Module for re-purposing a Centaur upper stage (Credit: IXION)

So for less than 5% of the total cost of the ISS,  its technologically feasible for  an SLS derived habitat to be deployed to LEO with more than four to five times the pressurized volume of the ISS (actually less than 1% of the cost of the ISS per pressurized volume).

Notional SLS propellant tank derived dry workshop habitat (Credit: NASA)


If two Dry Workshop Habitats (DWH)  are launched by an SLS IB to LEO, one could be attached to the SLS core vehicle’s empty LOX tank after residual oxygen is purged into space. And  the other could be attached to the purged SLS LH2 fuel tank. So two enormous semi-isolated sections could be created within one titanic space habitat.

Flexcraft (single manned transport vehicles) could be used by an astronaut residing in one section of the habitat to visit the other large section.  But larger transport vehicles using thrusters could be deployed to the mega habitat by commercial launch vehicles. Such vehicles could conveniently transport up to six astronauts from one section of the other using waste carbon dioxide or hydrogen to power the thrusters. 
X-Ray interior of an SLS core stage mated to two SLS propellant tank derived Dry Habitats. The long red cylinder represents the SLS hydrogen tank. And the shorter blue tank represents the liquid oxygen tank. The Dry Habitat connected to the LOX tank has a Cupola attached to allow vistors to view the surface of the Earth as the station orbits. 

The two propellant tank derived wet workshops could be immediately utilized for  microgravity recreation and for stowage, allowing more of the dry workhop areas to be used for human occupation.

Astronaut performing microgravity gymnastics within the spacious 6.6 meter in diameter Skylab dry workship habitat (Credit: NASA).

The linear docked workshop could have four docking ports plus a windowed Cupola for viewing the Earth. Attached to the repurposed LOX tank would add more than 800 cubic meters of additional pressurized volume that could be used for  microgravity recreation and for storing food, water, extra pressure suites and equipment plus the garbage and biological waste that are continuously produced by the stations inhabitants. 

ISS Cupola viewing area (Credit:NASA)

A DWS habitat docked with he LH2 tank could have five docking ports with an additional pressurized volume exceeding 2000 cubic meters. The substantially larger living space could prompt more elaborate use of the wet station area. Additional divisions could be built inside of the enormous wet workshop to provide additional private rooms and work areas for occupants.  Crops and even fruit trees as tall as 4.2 meters (13 feet 9 inches tall) could be planted along the walls of the wet workshop to grow fruits and vegetables for the station.

Conceivably, one section of the mega orbiting habitat could be exclusively used for NASA and US military astronauts (US Space Corp?) while the other section with the Cupola could be utilized exclusively for space tourism.  

Propellant depots, space laboratories, and even zombie satellites that need to be refurbishment or repaired could be redeployed near the mega habitat, perhaps a few hundred meters or a few kilometers away,  in the same orbital arc. Flexcraft or Mini-Transports could be used to transport personal staying at the space station to nearby space laboratories or to a malfunctioning satellite in need of repair that has recently been deployed near the space station.


Notional FlexCraft vehicle (Credit: NASA)

Crewed reusable orbital transfer vehicles designed to travel to other regions of cis-lunar space  could dock with the mega station until they are ready to be refueled at a nearby orbiting propellant depot before traveling to an Earth-Moon Lagrange point or Low Lunar Orbit.  

 Polls conducted in 2018, suggest that 42% of Americans would like to travel into space. But world wide, there are only about 52,000 people who could actually afford to do so. But that still suggest that there may be 22,000 people who would like to travel into space and have the money to pay for it. Annually, if just 10% of the super wealthy who desired to travel into space (2200 people) payed to visit an orbiting habitat,  that would require a prodigious 440 to 550  commercial launches every year. That, of course, doesn't include the number of unmanned launches needed to provide such habitats with food and water and other supplies.  But even if a mere 1% of the wealthy who desired to travel into space purchased rides to a space habitat every year,  that would require 44 to 55 private commercial launches annually.

If the owners of space habitats charged  $4 million for a ten day stay, that would only represent less than 10% of the cost to a customer assuming the cost of traveling to and from orbit is around $50 million. So orbiting habitats could make $24 million for a ten day stay for six people (tourist plus pilots).  So if they accommodated customers every ten days, such a habitat could make more than  $864 million in revenue every year for just 36 flights per year.  Additional revenue could, of course, be made for providing accommodations for NASA and Space Corp astronauts in the other section of the mega habitat.


Links and References

Manufacturing of the International Space Station

 

NASA Funds Plan to Turn Used Rocket Fuel Tanks Into Space Habitats

 

Commercial Launch Demand to Private Microgravity Habitats at Low Earth Orbit

 

Station will cost tourists $52 million




Tuesday, June 18, 2019

Commercial Launch Demand to Private Microgravity Habitats at Low Earth Orbit

Notional 7 meter in diameter Blue Origin space habitat (Credit: NASA & Blue Origin)

By Marcel F. Williams 

A 2018 Pew Research poll suggest that 42% of Americans would be interested in traveling into space. But, so far, only seven super wealthy individuals have been able to do so with their own private funds. Multimillionaire Dennis Tito was the first tourist to travel into space to the ISS. Billionaire Charles Simonyi was the first space tourist to pay for  two trips to the ISS.

The Russian space agency has charged these super wealthy individuals between $20 million to $40 million to travel to the ISS. And because of the extraordinarily high cost of space travel,  space tourism has been exclusively for the super wealthy.

Multimillionaire Dennis Tito (far left) became the first space tourist in April of 2001
Bigelow Aerospace is currently offering tickets to the ISS for $52 million each for a one to two month stay at the International Space Station. 

There are over 2100 billionaires on Earth. 52,000 people in the world who are worth over $100 million with 15,000 of those individuals living in the US alone. So there are at least 52,000 people on Earth who could afford to travel to a space and to a space station at current prices.

Companies like Bigelow Aerospace have also been developing their own private space habitats that they hope to deploy some time during the next decade. And  NASA has recently presented space habitat concepts from several private space companies including Blue Origin and Lockheed Martin. 

$50 million seems close to the current rate for training, transporting, housing, and feeding a space tourist.  Optimally, you want to protect your customers health, so ten days in space should prevent any noticeable anatomical or physiological health effects. The ten days would include the launch days to the private space station and the return to the Earth's surface. That should give a tourist 8 full days inside of a private space station.  The pre-launch experience should also include astronaut training with maybe a few hyperbolic flights aboard a jumbo jet to test the individuals reaction to brief periods of microgravity and dynamic flight situations.
Notional 8.4 meter in diameter SLS derived microgravity habitat (Credit NASA)
Once inside of the orbiting space habitat, a paying tourist should be given spacious-- private quarters-- for sleeping, bathing, communicating with friends and family back on Earth and watching network and cable television programs or videos and movies on a private wide screen monitor. 

A large microgravity recreational area should also be available for guest. And the recreational area should be at least as spacious as the accommodations  experienced by astronauts aboard the old 6.6 meter in diameter Skylab facility. Notional habitats derived from the New Glenn upper stage (7 meters in diameter), Bigelow's Olympus: BA-2100 (12.6 meters in diameter), and SLS propellant tank technology derived habitats (8.4 meters in diameter) should provide spacious environments for microgravity recreational activities. 

A Cupola window viewing area of the Earth should be continuously available for guest.

Samantha Cristoforetti taking photos within the ISS Cupola (Credit: NASA)

At least three FlexCraft EVA tours should be available so that guest can experience moving about in space while experiencing spectacular view of the Earth and external views of the  space habitat where they have been residing. FlexCraft would give tourist the advantage of quick and convenient access to space without the need for several hours of pre-breathing oxygen in order to prevent decompression sickness (the bends).  Flexcraft can be flown in space by the tourist or tele-operated by personal on the ground or authorized personal inside of the space habitat. Manipulation arms could also be removed from FlexCraft vehicles that are utilized for tourist.

Notional FlexCraft single person vehicle (Credit: NASA)
The commercial spacecraft pilots could serve as the onsite guest service agents for the tourist they've taken up to the space habitat. Robots operated by personal on Earth could be used by the space habitat owners to assist the pilots and their guest-- even on FlexCraft EVAs. 

If the polls are correct then their should be at least  6300 super wealthy Americans who desire to travel to a space station-- and can afford to do so. And if there is a similar statistical desire  world wide, then there should be  at least  22,000 super wealthy people who want to travel into space-- and can afford to do so.

Annually, if just 10% of the super wealthy who desired to travel into space (2200 people)-- did so-- that would require 440 to 550 private commercial launches every year. In 2018, there were only 111 successful space launches with only four them being crew launches. So space tourism should create dramatic increase in the launch rate accompanied by substantial reductions in launch cost. But even if it were only 1%, that would require 44 to 55 private commercial launches every year.

But what if there was a national or even an international lotto system that could allow private individuals to risk an American dollar for a chance to travel into space? What if  42% of adult Americans risked $5 a year, on average, for a chance to travel into space through a Space Lotto system?  That would generate approximately $1.2 billion a year for crew launches. And that would be enough money to send 24 average Jane's and Joe's into space every year (5 to 6 additional crew launches).

But you could add even more incentive for Americans to purchase Space Lotto tickets if winners were given a monetary prize of $250,000 (less than 1% of the cost for the round trip ticket to space). Winners could be given $125,000 initially for their time off from work for astronaut training and traveling into space. An additional $125,000 would be given to them once they returned from space.

 If 42% of the world's adult population were willing to participate in Space Lotto system with a similar financial reward but only risked $2 per year, that would still generate $5 billion a year. That could purchase enough tickets for 100 winners per year (20 to 25 additional crew launches).

Optimally, a single private space habitat might be able to accommodate 36 tourist flights per year for a 10 day stay. Ten habitats would be required to accommodate 360 flights per year. So, obviously, there would also be a significant launch demand just to deploy the private habitats needed to accommodate potential tourist. 



Recreational activity within the interior of the 6.6 meter in diameter Skylab space station. 


References and Links

Space tourism? Majority of Americans say they wouldn’t be interested

NASA LEO Commercialization Study Results 

Space Tourism

Space Adventures 

 FlexCraft

Bigelow aims to sell rides to space station on SpaceX Dragon ships for $52M a seat

The World's Billionaires

You're not rich until you have $100 million, says rich people

Ultra high-net-worth individual

Here's where the world's richest 0.00168% live

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